“Arab Spring” Leading to “Eurasian Winter”

“The world should rush if it doesn’t want to face more tragic than “Arab Spring” “Eurasian Winter”

 

Ex-Speaker of Parliament and Leader of Open Society Party held meetings in the US capital Washington with international organizations promoting democracy in the world

 Party leader shared with “Qafqazinfo” information, according to which during the Washington trip he met with leadership and experts from such organizations as Freedom House, National Endowment for Democracy, which is sponsoring the initiatives of the US government, as well as with experienced former US diplomats and ambassadors in the countries of Former Soviet Union, members of Congress and other people. Subject of discussion was the analysis of the recent events in the world and development of global strategy.

Party leader while noticing an exceptional role of the 1975 Helsinki Act, where main provisions of human rights were reflected, in the destruction of Soviet Union and restoration of democracy in countries of Eastern Europe, attempted to bring a new dynamism to the discussions by claiming that it ceased to correspond to the needs of the current world.  According to him, the processes called “Arab Spring” show that dictators don’t want to leave without bloodshed. “What started with the deaths of hundreds of people during Tunisian events, continued with the slaughter of several thousand people in Egypt and ended with deaths of tens of thousands in Libya”. Killings of thousands of people continue today in Yemen and Syria. No matter how different those nations are in terms of economic situation, the reason for those processes taking place is the same and is directly connected to the violation of the rights of citizens. In all those countries elections have been falsified for a long time, dictators usurp power individually or dynastically and try to keep it by force.

Corruption and bribery are like cancer to the society, keeping it under the iron press. Dictators are personally leading the policy of bribery and corruption. They treat the country as their personal household, they don’t consider country’s finances to be people’s property, spending them according to their own wishes. Families of dictators are full owners of their countries, their ministers are degraded to the level of their servants. “Arab Spring” shows that quite soon dictatorial rule will face a global crisis and the main task now is to be able to manage this process so that there is no bloodshed.

In today’s world it is impossible and considered immoral for civilized countries not to intervene in order to save people from physical extermination by the dictator. In recent years in order to get rid of dictators military intervention was applied three times: in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya. Iraq-Afghanistan wars already cost more than one trillion dollars and near 200 thousand lives. In both countries new regimes were created based on democratic principles: in Afghanistan close to thirty percent, in Iraq close to eighty percent. In Libya NATO spent more than 300 billion dollars on bombardment, more than thirty thousand people lost their lives and the process is just in the beginning stage.

In order to avoid such costly, both financially and in terms of the lost of people’s lives, interventions, outdated Helsinki Declaration should be replaced with new one. In the new declaration one of the provisions should reflect that the conduct of free and fair elections is the main principle of determining the state of human rights in the country and cannot be considered an internal issue of the country. The list of countries where the results of the elections in recent years have been totally falsified should be developed and starting from the second half of 2012 elections in those countries should be conducted by the United Nations. The countries of the Former Soviet Union such as Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, Tajikistan, Belarus and Kazakhstan are those who totally falsify elections and should be included in the first “black” list. Russia and Armenia can be included in the second list of authoritarian regimes. Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia and Kyrgyzstan belong to the third group of authoritarian regimes which are on the threshold of democracy.

If representatives of civilized world do not intervene into the development of the events in the first group of totalitarian regimes, in a few years revolutions, causing great amount of death, will be inevitable and no repressions would be able to stop them. The military intervention of the United States or NATO in those countries would also be impossible, since they are surrounded by China, Russia and Iran. Unlike in 1990’s, there will be lots of bloodshed, because different groups assembled quite big amount of financial resources and in any kind of extreme situation they will try to assume the power. The world should rush if it doesn’t want to face more tragic than “Arab Spring” “Eurasian Winter”.

Deep discussions around those issues were held during the meetings and it was accepted that revolutions in totalitarian states are inevitable. It was decided to continue those meetings in more intensive fashion and broader format.”